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Prediction markets
602 active markets
· category “Politics”
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Next leader out of power before 2027? (No Orban)
Starmer - UK PM
97%
Zelenskyy - Ukraine President
1%
22 more
$58.3M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
72 trading now
How long will Trump and Xi shake hands when they meet?
10–15s
99%
15s+
1%
5 more
$1.41M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
55 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
5%
chance
Yes
No
$13.5M
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
58 trading now
Brazil Presidential Election
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
62%
Flávio Bolsonaro
22%
30 more
$111.3M
Vol.
Oct 4
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$41
70 trading now
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by...?
June 30, 2027
60%
December 31
28%
4 more
$1.89M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$42
57 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
1%
chance
Yes
No
$8.29M
Vol.
Jul 15
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$313
54 trading now
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?
99%
chance
Yes
No
$455K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
59%
chance
Yes
No
$4.60M
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$43
52 trading now
Which party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
United Russia (ER)
55%
New People (NL)
39%
32 more
$14.8M
Vol.
Sep 20
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$46
72 trading now
Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by...?
June 30
99%
December 31
99%
1 more
$468K
Vol.
Dec 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
46 trading now
Galway-West By-Election Winner?
Seán Kyne
99%
Sheila Garrity
1%
25 more
$257K
Vol.
Mar 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$26
49 trading now
Total Internet Blackout in Iran by...?
73%
chance
Yes
No
$121K
Vol.
Jul 31
politics
Potential payout
$25
→
$34
50 trading now
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